Monterey County will hit a population of almost 570,000 residents by 2060, but the 37 percent growth rate will be slightly lower than California's overall rate of adding new residents.
The county's population will reach about 569,400 in 2060 — an increase of 153,200 residents from 2010, said new projections released Thursday by the state Department of Finance. The county's current population is about 423,900.
California's population will reach almost 52.7 million — nearly 15.4 million more than 2010 and 39 percent higher than its 2012 estimate — and have 13 counties with more than 1 million residents.
Four new counties reaching a population of 1 million or more will be Fresno, Kern, San Joaquin and Ventura.
On the Central Coast, state officials say Monterey County will have a median age about two years younger than neighboring San Benito and Santa Cruz counties. But San Benito County will have the most rapid rate of population growth — 57.1 percent — of the three.
Statewide by 2060, Latinos will comprise 48 percent of the state's population, whites will represent 30 percent, blacks 4 percent and Asians 13 percent.
In Monterey County, Latinos and Asians will be the fastest-growing population groups. The county's Latino population will grow by nearly 164,000 residents, a 71 percent increase, but below the 80 percent statewide increase in Latino population.
The county's Asian population will grow by 15,389 residents, a 63 percent increase.
Statewide, California's white population will jump by 4 percent, the same growth rate as the number of black residents.
Overall, California will remain one of the youngest states in the union over the next 20 years. Monterey County's population, by 2060, will be slightly older than the entire state's.
Monterey County will have higher growth rates for college age residents (20 percent), working age residents (30 percent), young retirees (105 percent), mature retirees (141 percent) and seniors (276 percent). Only county growth rates for preschoolers (9 percent) and school age residents (15 percent) will be lower or equal to the state rates.
The population projections are used by state and local governments for planning purposes.
Larry Parsons can be reached at 646-4379 or email@example.com.