Monte Poole's fearless forecast for the NFL, 2013.

Oakland Raiders record/finish): 3-13, last place in AFC West. Not enough offense, not enough defense. RB Darren McFadden is the only Raider with a good chance to be among the NFL's Top 150 players, if he's able to do something for the first time: play a 16-game season.

San Francisco 49ers record/finish: 11-5, second place in NFC West. Defense will be strong enough to keep them in games, but the unit will have lapses. Offense could rush for 2,500 yards, but the unit will miss WR Michael Crabtree's ability to keep drives going with third-down catches.

Raiders QB with most starts: Matt Flynn. Terrelle Pryor will start six or seven games, and the passing game won't be much of a factor. Flynn will get his chances, move the ball with quick passes . . . and still it won't be enough to salvage the season.

Kaepernick TDs to turnovers: 36/14. Kaepernick will have a good season by league standards, but he won't turn the NFL on its head. He'll throw for at least 30 TD, run for another six or eight.

Raiders blackouts: Six. The games against Pittsburgh and Washington (RGIII) are best bets to sellout. But neither is a guarantee.

Surprise team: Cincinnati Bengals. Love their front seven on defense. Love A. J. Green at wide receiver. Not sure about QB Andy Dalton, but think he's good enough to keep things steady for nine or 10 wins.

Disappointing team: Minnesota Vikings. Love RB Adrian Peterson. Don't love much of anything else, the only possible exception being LB Chad Greenway.

First coach fired: Rex Ryan. Oh, Rex, your act was good while your team lasted. We always knew when it unraveled it would be a special kind of ugly.

Super Bowl: Atlanta over Denver. Falcons have enough offensive weapons to score 30 on any opponent. Can their defense do enough? I think so.