BERKELEY -- Pac-12 Networks analyst Yogi Roth watched tape of Cal's 41-24 loss at Colorado and realized he had seen it all before.
"If you don't look at the score, it's like the offense is putting up numbers but not converting when they need to," he said. "That's kind of what happens every Saturday."
The Bear Raid offense, which was expected to rack up points, win games and sell tickets for Cal football this fall, hasn't done any of that.
"We're a teaser offense," Cal offensive coordinator Tony Franklin said. "We show signs, tease people, and they go, 'Why can't they do that all the time?' "
Coach Sonny Dykes and Franklin ran the same spread offense a year ago at Louisiana Tech, which led the nation in scoring (51.5 points per game) and total offense (577.9 yards). Dykes' ability to field an explosive and entertaining team was the biggest reason he was hired to replace Jeff Tedford.
It has been a different story so far in Berkeley. While the Bears rank fifth in the Pac-12 at 460 yards per game, Cal's 23.9 points per game is last in the conference.
Combined with an injury-ravaged defense that has been one of the nation's worst, the equation has added up to a 1-10 record heading into Saturday's 116th Big Game at Stanford.
"I've been disappointed," Dykes said. "You can throw out the (win-loss) record -- I'm disappointed because we haven't improved."
Things appeared promising early. The Bears scored 30 points against Northwestern in their opener. Two weeks later, they put up 34 against Ohio State, the second-most allowed this season by the unbeaten Buckeyes.
Since then, the Bears' weaknesses have become evident: A young offensive line that isn't physical enough, the lack of a power running back, trouble on third down and in the red zone and, recently, a diminished downfield passing game.
Pac-12 opponents have exposed and exploited those flaws.
"People have a catalog on us," Franklin said, "and we have not been able to be as effective as we were."
Cal's solution has been to let freshman quarterback Jared Goff throw the ball. Over and over. He threw 64 times against Northwestern and has topped 50 attempts in six games.
"I'm embarrassed to throw the ball the way we have," Franklin said. "It's not championship football. You're too predictable, and we're not good enough."
The Bears pile up huge passing numbers between the 20-yard lines, but the fast-paced offense, which relies on developing a rhythm, can't consistently finish drives.
"Where you struggle in this offense, in my opinion, is in the red zone and on third down," Roth said.
The numbers bear it out. Cal is 10th in the Pac-12 in third-down conversion success and last in red-zone efficiency, scoring touchdowns on only 20 of 41 trips inside the opponent's 20-yard line.
"The field shrinks," Franklin said, "and if you can't run the ball in the red zone you can't win."
Third-down problems have their roots in first-down failures. Cal threw incomplete on first down seven times at Colorado last Saturday, and punted three plays later each time.
The Bears' speed-based run game has improved the past two weeks but doesn't scare opposing defenses.
"Everybody figures they can play five in the box against us and not worry about (us) running the football," Franklin said. "To throw the ball deep, you have to be able to create something which forces them to bring their safeties down to get involved in the run game."
Up front, the Bears shuffled their offensive line at midseason and start three freshmen. They're paying a price for it now, but Franklin called their development the season's biggest positive.
"Those guys are more physical, they're much tougher," he said. "They're talented, but they need to get stronger. They'll be a different group this time next year."
Compounding the problems is a late-season hip injury that has slowed Chris Harper, the Bears' fastest receiver, and blunted their ability to throw deep. Over the past three games, Cal has completed only nine passes that gained at least 20 yards, and Harper has been ruled out of Saturday's game.
Roth doesn't think the Bears need to be in "freak-out mode" about the Bear Raid offense. They need to develop better rhythm and need to recruit a power back.
Roth also said the Bears could use a break, after games played in a monsoon rainstorm at Oregon and amid 35 mph winds at Colorado.
Dykes would like to agree. "Good football teams make their own breaks," he said. "Right now we're not a very good football team."
How Cal's Bear Raid offense produced against its two FBS nonconference opponents and its average against eight Pac-12 foes:
Opponent Points Yards
Northwestern 30 549
Ohio State 34 503
Pac-12 20.3 424.0
116th big game
Cal (1-10, 0-8 Pac-12)
at Stanford (8-2, 6-2),
1 p.m. Saturday, Fox Sports 1