This is how it seemed: Florida Gulf Coast had figured it all out right away, just knew how this was going to end, and it took everyone else, including Georgetown, a little while to catch up.
This is the reality: With so few great teams and so many one-and-one stars, No. 2 seeds aren't even close to untouchable in the NCAA tournament any more. Georgetown is the third No. 2 to get taken out by a 15 seed in the last two years, and counting this year, 2 seeds are now only 5-3 in the last two first rounds.
FGCU -- that's Florida Golf Coast University -- had that figured out. The Eagles clearly were incredibly confident going into this game, and wildly cocky once they took control, all good things for tournament zaniness. FGCU didn't have as many good players as Georgetown, but it had good players doing good things throughout, it had a good coach, and Georgetown froze up—and that's all it takes.
And yes, it seems inevitable that a No. 1 will finally get beat by a 16 seed in the first round at some near point.
College basketball is competitive—the big programs get the best talent, but they can't hold onto the best players for very long, which makes things a little haphazard and random in one-and-done situations.
The organized, disciplined, tough teams are the ones that can either stave off or pull off big victories, and Georgetown just wasn't very organized or tough tonight.
Which gave Florida Gulf Coast every opening, and the Eagles took them.
If the match-ups are right, as they were for FGCU in this case, and if the premium seed is as shaky as Georgetown, then we're going to see a lot of these throughout this era of tournament play. It's just inevitable.
So yeah, it felt odd when FGCU, the 15 seed in the South, took a 24-22 lead into halftime, but not that odd. Georgetown had a very good season, but it absolutely profiled as a vulnerable 2 seed. The Hoyas ranked 138th in rebound-differential, exactly the same ranking Missouri had as a 2 seed last season, when it lost in the first round to 15 Norfolk State.
It got more tense when FCGU grabbed a seven-point lead early in the second half. And when the Eagles pushed the lead to 17, it was just what you figured they were thinking all along: Inevitable.
I mean, did you see that flip alley-oop pass from Brent Comer and flying one-handed dunk by Chase Fielder... to push restore control after the Hoyas made a last-ditch comeback? Yeah, you saw it.
So this was the seventh time all-time that a 15 toppled a 2, but there will be more. It'll probably happen a lot more. Because the game is different now than it was, say, five or 10 years ago, and 2 seeds are there to be beaten, if they get the wrong match-up, and if they're especially vulnerable.